Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
---|---|---|
2020-01-22 to 2021-03-05 | 3.65% | 19.37 days |
2021-03-01 to 2021-03-05 | 0.46% | 153.72 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.46% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.