|Period||Ave daily growth rate||Doubling time|
|2020-03-16 to 2021-08-05||2.26%||31.29 days|
|2021-10-11 to 2021-08-05||0.45%||157.13 days|
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.45% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.