Antigua and Barbuda analysis






The Active percentage needs to get to zero and stay there.




PeriodAve daily growth rateDoubling time
2020-03-13 to 2020-07-015.85%12.09 days
2020-06-26 to 2020-07-011.54%45.92 days

Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 1.54% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.





Historical trends for the CFR and Cured rates


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