| Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-26 to 2020-09-27 | 6.01% | 11.77 days |
| 2020-09-22 to 2020-09-27 | 1.73% | 40.87 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 1.73% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.