Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
---|---|---|
2020-01-29 to 2021-01-19 | 3.61% | 19.59 days |
2021-01-15 to 2021-01-19 | 0.5% | 141.42 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.5% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.