| Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-13 to 2021-08-05 | 3.04% | 23.26 days |
| 2024-10-06 to 2021-08-05 | 0.17% | 415.95 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.17% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.