|Period||Ave daily growth rate||Doubling time|
|2020-03-01 to 2021-01-19||4.4%||16.07 days|
|2021-01-14 to 2021-01-19||0.7%||101.02 days|
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.7% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.