Summer Olympics 2020 analysis






The Active percentage needs to get to zero and stay there.




PeriodAve daily growth rateDoubling time
2021-06-19 to 2021-08-0524.05%2.94 days
2021-10-11 to 2021-08-055.55%12.74 days

Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 5.55% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.





Historical trends for the CFR and Cured rates


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