Saint Martin analysis






The Active percentage needs to get to zero and stay there.




PeriodAve daily growth rateDoubling time
2020-03-09 to 2020-09-253.09%22.88 days
2020-09-20 to 2020-09-252.8%25.25 days

Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 2.8% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.





Historical trends for the CFR and Cured rates


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