Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
---|---|---|
2020-03-14 to 2021-01-17 | 4.06% | 17.42 days |
2021-01-13 to 2021-01-17 | 2.18% | 32.44 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 2.18% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.