|Period||Ave daily growth rate||Doubling time|
|2020-02-27 to 2021-03-04||5.08%||13.92 days|
|2021-02-27 to 2021-03-04||0.38%||186.08 days|
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.38% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.