| Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-02 to 2020-09-27 | 4.46% | 15.85 days |
| 2020-09-22 to 2020-09-27 | 1.61% | 43.92 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 1.61% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.