Period | Ave daily growth rate | Doubling time |
---|---|---|
2020-03-11 to 2021-01-17 | 3.84% | 18.41 days |
2021-01-13 to 2021-01-17 | 0.55% | 128.56 days |
Projected cases are a simple exponential projection based the average growth rate over the last five days, which is 0.55% day-to-day.
However this is not sustainable, and at some point the curve will switch from exponential to an S-curve. We can't predict when that will be.